Saturday, September 6, 2008

Bellweather States

As far as I can tell, it appears that six states have gotten the last four presidential elections exactly right - 1992 and 1996 wins by Democrat Bill Clinton and 2000 and 2004 wins by Republican George Bush. Those states are: Arksansas, Kentucky Missouri, Ohio, Tennsesse and West Virginia.

Arkansas isn't a great state to use since it is Clinton's home state. Then again, Tennesse was Senator Gore's home state and he couldn't carry it against Bush in 2000. Nonethless, I saw something very interesting when looking at how those bellweather states are currently leaning according to

Arkansas - Weak Republican
Kentucky - Strong Republican
Missouri - Weak Republican
Ohio - Barely Democrat
Tennessee - Strong Republican
West Virginia - Weak Republican


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