Absentee Ballots (heavily Democratic)In-Person Early Voting Ballots (modest Democratic edge)Day of Election Ballots (heavily Republican)
- The idea of runoff primaries and runoff general elections when a candidate did not get 50% is a rarity in American politics and is mostly found in the Southern states with heavy African-American populations. It was designed by the Democratic Party as a way of diminishing black voting clout at a time during which African-Americans voted heavily Republican. There was a fear that the significant black population would vote together and nominate/elect black candidates, or white Republicans, with a plurality of the vote in multi-candidate fields. With the run-off election, Democrats, in particular white Democrats, knew that they would always prevail in the runoff given the larger white population voting solidly Democrat.
- The irony is that Georgia Democrats are blaming Republicans for the runoff election system that their party designed.
- As far as those dismissing my prediction outlined above, I would remind them that in November I picked 49 of 50 states correctly in the presidential contest, including Georgia. (I only missed North Carolina - barely.) We don't need to discuss any of my other election predictions I made that cycle. Irrelevant.
- I think there might be as much as a 50% chance that Trump faces prosecution for the phone call in which he tried to pressure Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger to "find" enough votes to let him win the Peach State. The problem for Trump was that when he made the call Raffensperger was sitting in his Atlanta office. Thus, the decision on whether to prosecute Trump will be a decision made by a Democrat, Fani T. Willis, the newly-elected Fulton County District Attorney. A federal pardon won't stop the prosecution and Georgia doesn't have a gubernatorial pardon so Governor Kemp cannot help him. Not that Kemp would be inclined to help Trump given how the President has attacked him.