|Rev. Raphael Warnock|
odds - I'd bet on the Republicans. But I think the race is going to be much more competitive than those analysts think.
On January 24, 2020, the Senate Committees on Health and Foreign Relations held a closed meeting with only Senators present to brief them about the COVID-19 outbreak and how it would affect the United States. Following the meeting Senator Kelly Loeffler and her husband Jeffrey Sprecher, the chairman of the New York Stock Exchange, made twenty-seven transactions to sell stocks worth between $1,275,000 and $3,100,000 and two transactions to buy stock in Citrix Systems which saw an increase following the stock market crash. Senator David Perdue made a series of 112 transactions with stocks sold for around $825,000 and bought stocks worth $1.8 million. Perdue started buying around $185,000 in stock in DuPont, a company that makes personal protective equipment, on the same day as the Senate briefing up to March 2.
- Indiana's Covid-19 rates keep climbing. Today, Indiana reported 5,036, cases, a new record. Also, 31 deaths were reported.
- It is not just Indiana, rates across the country are skyrocketing. We are soon on the path to have more than 150,000 cases reported in a single day.
- Apparently, Covid-19 wasn't a Democratic hoax that would go away the day after the election.
- Interesting Politico article about how Catholics turning away from Trump, particularly in key swing states, cost him the election. I'm skeptical though about the other conclusion in the article - that evangelicals turning against Trump also cost him. The slight decrease in evangelical support mentioned in the article is just too small and well within any polling margin of error. Thus, such a conclusion is not justified by the data.
- Biden looks like he will end up with 306 electoral votes (the same as Trump in 2016) and a 5 million vote lead in the national popular vote. By historical standards, a close election. By RECENT historical standards, not a close election. We have not had a presidential election even remotely resembling a landslide since Bush-Dukakis in 1988. In that election, then Vice-President George H.W. Bush defeated Massachusetts Governor Michael Dukakis 426-111 in the Electoral College and 53.4% to 45.6% in the popular vote.