![]() |
Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) |
Trump seems to do best in states which are overwhelmingly rural and white. So it is shocking that Trump is not more popular in the Hawkeye State which is overwhelmingly rural and white.. The most recent poll only shows Trump up 2 points in Iowa.
Saturday evening, the Des Moines Register released a poll (conducted by the A+ rated pollster Selzer & Company), showing Democrat challenger Theresa Greenfield leading Ernst 46-43. This is consistent with two other June Iowa polls which has Greenfield leading 2 to 3 points. While the poll makes the race look like a toss-up, it may not be the toss-up the numbers seem to suggest. When you have an incumbent, the undecided vote 80% of the time breaks for the challenger, by margins that average about 2-1. If that happens here, Greenfield wins the November contest 53-47.
The Democrats have a lot of targets to win a majority in the Senate. Don't bet against them.
The Democrats have a lot of targets to win a majority in the Senate. Don't bet against them.
No comments:
Post a Comment