The district, which has some of the highest concentration of older voters in the country, has become increasingly Democratic and was won by President Obama in 2008 and 2012. Sink, who ran a close race in 2010 against Republican Governor Rick Scott, was considered to be a superior candidate to Jolly, a former lobbyist and legal counsel to Rep. Young.
Sink held small but consistent leads in the polling leading up to the election. Yesterday Slate Magazine reported on the final one:
The League of Conservation Voters has teamed with Public Policy Polling for, likely, the final poll on the race for Florida's 13th District. If accurate, it confirms what Republicans have feared—a superior Democratic organization has turned out enough votes for Democrat Alex Sink that Republican David Jolly is likely to lose tomorrow. PPP suggests that 60 percent of voters have turned out already (122,000 ballots have been cast before Election Day) and that Sink's won them by 7 points. Jolly's winning the rest of the electorate by 4 points
That keeps Sink in the lead, bailed out by the very moderate-sounding 27-year-old Libertarian candidate Lucas Overby....The Slate Magazine article has a picture of Sink with the clever caption: "Sink looks to sink an easy putt tomorrow." Apparently not.