|Admiral Michael Franken|
- I have twice unsubscribed from Trump emails, the latest time about a week ago. Despite my effort to get off the Trump campaign mailing list, on Tuesday, I received 12 emails from Trump wanting money.
- Sen. Lindsey Graham failed in his effort to quash a criminal court subpoena from the Georgia grand jury investigating Trump's efforts to overturn the election results in that state. That was expected. Quashing a criminal subpoena is extremely difficult...as I'm sure his attorneys told him. Now Graham has a dilemma. He may well be called upon to answer questions that could implicate him in a crime. That would leave him with no choice but to claim the 5th. Not a good look for a sitting U.S. Senator.
- An analyst with FiveThirtyEight looked at 6 pre-Dobbs and 6 post-Dobbs generic congressional ballot polls and concluded that there was a 3 point swing in favor of Democrats.. A couple more post-Dobbs generic ballot polls just came in so I did an 8 pre and 8 post poll comparison. That analysis shows a swing of 1.7 in favor of the Republicans. A caveat though - those two new polls were very favorable for Republicans, showing the GOP with 8 point leads on the generic congressional ballot. In short, it's too early to know what effect Dobbs reversing Roe will have on the election. My guess is the decision is going to be helpful to Democrats, but fall far short of the political earthquake they were hoping for.