Wednesday, March 14, 2018

Pennsylvania Special Election Provides Yet More Evidence Mid-Terms Will Feature Democratic Tidal Wave

Yesterday, Democrat Conor Lamb defeated his Republican opponent Rick Saccone in a Pennsylvania special election to fill the vacancy left when Republican congressman Tim Murphy resigned.  Candidate Donald Trump had won the district, Pennsylvania Congressional District 18, by 20 points in 2016.  The district is so reliably Republican that the Democrats did not even bother to field a candidate against Murphy in 2014 and 2016.   Conor won the razor thin victory by running as a defiantly moderate Democrat, someone whose views were not at all in line with his party's liberalism, but whose views better match the conservative leaning voters of District 18.  Although President Donald Trump came to the district the weekend before the election to fire up the Republican base, his efforts, as they did in
Conor Lamb
Alabama, failed to inspire the GOP faithful.  They weren't buying what Trump was selling.

I can hear the excuses now.  Lamb ran as a Republican-lite.  Saccone was a horrible candidate.  Yeah, so what?  The fact is District 18 is a heavy, heavy Republican district.  When the numbers are that stacked in the GOP's favor, the Democrats cannot win a district simply by running a candidate who talks like a Republican even if the GOP fields a candidate who can't walk and chew gum at the same time.

Make no mistake about it...what gave Conor Lamb a shot at victory is the unpopularity of Donald Trump.   Trump's presidency has been an unmitigated failure.  For 14 months, the Trump administration has teetered from one crisis to another, with the President taking pains to alienate every demographic group with the exception of under-educated white men.  While Republicans still back Trump by 80% plus, the fact is independents, those people who voted for Trump because they couldn't stand Hillary, have long ago left and they show no sign of coming back.  Trumpers don't get that.  They think Donald Trump won some sweeping victory on November 8, 2016, when in fact Trump only won a narrow victory in the Electoral College because he faced the most spectacularly unpopular candidate the Democrats could find.

For Trumpers, the approaching blue wave due to hit the shores on November 6th (which even they must by now admit is coming) surely must be someone else's fault.  How about George Soros?  Nancy Pelosi?  Chuck Schumer?  Bob Mueller?  Paul Ryan?  Mitch McConnell?  Lord knows the Kool-Aid drinking Trumpers will never actually hold the President responsible for anything.  The ethos of "personal responsibility" does not apply when the leader of your cult is named Donald J. Trump.

But it should.  Trump and his embarrassingly incompetent and scandal-riddled tenure is destroying the party I have believed in and supported since my 18th birthday.  It will take a generation to rebuild the Republican party post-Trump.  The sooner that process begins the better.

8 comments:

leon dixon said...

One ought not confess the hilarity of watching TDS sufferers implode and endlessly repeat their outdated mantras like some Hindu
spinning his prayer wheel hoping to make up in sheer numbers what cannot be accomplished by measuring reality. If Trump lives and decides to run again there is no prospect of his being defeated. If it is the economy, stupid, still in play well, it appears to be doing much better by Trump's blowing up the budget than the insipid Obama accomplished following policies that were not really democrat policies. On the Federalist Society list of judges they have vetted, who do you like for the SC? Normal republicans stick their noses up the tailpipes of the ABA.....the few conservatives that are Republican might now know better but don't count on it.
Imagine the Gary Welsh column on the "moderator" for the upcoming R beauty pageant/debate. Does your plastic ball predict a Tidal Wave for Donnelly?

True Republican said...

Paul,

We posted about Tim Murphy’s retirement in October: https://unboughtandunbossedrepublican.blogspot.com/2017/10/is-congressman-tim-murphys-resignation.html?m=1

What a moron Murphy is he would have gotten away with all of it. If he had just gotten himself elected President. What a moron he was.

TR

Flogger said...

Disclaimer - I am a Bernie Bot. The Kool-Aide is also being consumed in mass quantities by the Corporate Democratic Establishment and their groupies.

Hillary recently blamed White Men for undue influence on married White Women to vote for the Trumpet. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5492301/Girls-trip-Hillary-Clinton-plays-tourist-India-aide-Huma.html

All day CNN and MSDNC keep blathering on and on hour after hour about how the Russians stole the election. No proof is ever offered, but the Masters of Ceremonies for these "News Shows" manage to turn innuendo and mindless supposition by some act of verbal contortion into fact.

The rumblings from the Democratic Corporate Establishment is Joe Biden in 2020. Biden would rank along Al Gorbot and John Kerry as medal winners for most uninspiring candidate.

The Corporate Democratic Party seems determined to run against the Trumpet, rather than developing an effective platform of their own. This running against the Trumpet could lead to some success. The beauty of this is in sense, with the Trumpet constantly running his mouth more and more, Independents may just decide to come out in mass and say No to The Trumpet.

Paul K. Ogden said...

Leon,

There is no prospect of Trump being defeated? Are you kidding or do you really think the Ds will actually run Hillary again? The economy is doing really well and Trump has record low approval ratings. That speaks volumes. Not that Presidents run the economy. Everyone who has taken Economics 101 knows that.

As far as SCT appointment, you do realize don't you that Trump wanted to appoint Guiliani to the SCT but was talked out of it?

Paul K. Ogden said...

Flogger,

"All day CNN and MSDNC keep blathering on and on hour after hour about how the Russians stole the election. No proof is ever offered, but the Masters of Ceremonies for these "News Shows" manage to turn innuendo and mindless supposition by some act of verbal contortion into fact."

The 13 Russian indictments issued as a result of the Mueller probe exhaustively detail how the Russians tried to sow chaos and ultimately settled on a strategy of getting Trump elected. The notion no votes were changed is a claim that campaign work and advertisements are completely ineffectual. If so, why do politicians all over the country do it in an effort to win. If it were not for 78,000 votes in 3 states, we'd have President Hillary Clinton. Trumpers can claim that what the Russian effort didn't have any impact on the election, but they don't know that at all for sure and given the narrow margin, there's a good chance it did.

Anonymous said...

The Republicans in this state need to stop kissing up to Abdul. How that dirtbag is still around I will never know. Wonder if he has ever registered his cars here he has only lived in this state for two decades.

Flogger said...

Paul, I am not sure about the Russian effect. Your comment in response to mine did turn a light on though.
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On some great and glorious day the plain folks of the land will reach their heart's desire at last, and the White House will be adorned by a downright moron.

“No one in this world, so far as I know — and I have searched the records for years, and employed agents to help me — has ever lost money by underestimating the intelligence of the great masses of the plain people. Nor has anyone ever lost public office thereby.”

both quotes by H.L. Mencken

Anonymous said...

Republican Party... Billionaires and Dumb Fucks. Are any of you a billionaire?