Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Indiana Nears Battleground Status As Polls Show Hoosier State 10th Most Competitive
The Real Clear Politics average of polls shows the Trump lead in the Indiana as being only 4.5%. Compared to the polling averages in other states, Indiana is the 10th most competitive state. Here is the top 10 list and which candidate leads in that state:
1. Ohio .7 (Trump lead)
2. Arizona 1 (Trump lead)
3. Nevada 2.5 (Clinton lead)
4. North Carolina 2.7 (Clinton lead)
5. Alaska 3 (Trump lead)
6. New Hampshire 3.6 (Clinton lead)
6. Florida 3.6 (Clinton lead)
8. Iowa 3.7 (Trump lead)
9. Minnesota 4.3 (Clinton lead)
10. Indiana 4.5 (Trump lead)
I should note that polling in Alaska has been very limited.
Ohio and Iowa are two states that, although President Obama won them in 2012, Trump leads. Clinton though appears to be offsetting that by leading in North Carolina, a state Romney won in 2012. Clinton has also taken out of contention several near battleground states that Trump had vowed he could win:
15. Wisconsin 6.7 (Clinton lead)
16. Pennsylvania 6.8 (Clinton lead)
21. Colorado 8 (Clinton lead)
23. Virginia 8.7 (Clinton lead)
27. Michigan 10.7 (Clinton lead)
Is "battleground" status on the Hoosier horizon?
Update: An alert reader caught that I flipped Minnesota. Clinton leads in that state, not Trump.