Looking at the individual poll numbers v. results, Trump was 9.1% better while Texas Senator Ted Cruz exceeded his raw poll numbers by only .3%. Cruz almost always outperforms the polls by a significant percentage but in Arizona, despite out organizing Trump, he was trounced by the New York businessman 47.1% to 24.7%. Ohio Governor John Kasich finished last with 10.0%.
The Utah GOP caucus though was a completely different matter. There Cruz cruised with 69.2% of the vote, receiving all the state's 40 delegates. Trump finished an astonishing third, tallying only 14.0% support among the record turnout. Kasich finished second with 16.9% of the vote.
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton won the Arizona primary over Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders 56.6% to 39.9%. But then Sanders blew out Clinton winning Utah and Idaho caucuses, with 79.3% and 78% of the vote respectively.
It is astonishing that we could be this late in the campaign season with the front-runner in both parties not having the support of 4 of 5 members of their party in some state contests.